Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000193 0.000209 0.000226 0.000246 0.000268 0.000291 0.000319
2024-10-13 0.000168 0.000191 0.000217 0.000249 0.000288 0.000333 0.000391
2024-10-20 0.000151 0.000177 0.000207 0.000246 0.000295 0.000356 0.000438
2024-10-27 0.000143 0.000172 0.000206 0.000253 0.000314 0.000393 0.000505
2024-11-03 0.000131 0.000160 0.000196 0.000246 0.000313 0.000404 0.000539
2024-11-10 0.000122 0.000151 0.000189 0.000242 0.000316 0.000419 0.000579
2024-11-17 0.000114 0.000143 0.000182 0.000237 0.000316 0.000431 0.000615
2024-11-24 0.000109 0.000139 0.000179 0.000237 0.000324 0.000452 0.000668
2024-12-01 0.000104 0.000134 0.000175 0.000237 0.000330 0.000472 0.000719
2024-12-08 0.000101 0.000132 0.000174 0.000239 0.000340 0.000499 0.000788
2024-12-15 0.000096 0.000126 0.000169 0.000235 0.000341 0.000510 0.000829
2024-12-22 0.000092 0.000123 0.000167 0.000236 0.000348 0.000533 0.000894
2024-12-29 0.000090 0.000121 0.000167 0.000240 0.000361 0.000569 0.000991
2025-01-05 0.000088 0.000120 0.000167 0.000244 0.000376 0.000609 0.001107
2025-01-12 0.000084 0.000116 0.000162 0.000241 0.000377 0.000625 0.001174
2025-01-19 0.000083 0.000115 0.000164 0.000247 0.000396 0.000676 0.001327
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000110 0.000158 0.000240 0.000390 0.000678 0.001368
2025-02-02 0.000075 0.000106 0.000154 0.000237 0.000390 0.000691 0.001439
2025-02-09 0.000072 0.000102 0.000149 0.000232 0.000387 0.000699 0.001498
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000100 0.000147 0.000232 0.000394 0.000728 0.001617
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000098 0.000145 0.000231 0.000399 0.000753 0.001734
2025-03-02 0.000067 0.000097 0.000145 0.000234 0.000410 0.000794 0.001905
2025-03-09 0.000064 0.000094 0.000142 0.000230 0.000409 0.000806 0.001992